Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.007543 0.008447 0.009435 0.010598 0.011933 0.013421 0.015214
2025-05-18 0.006036 0.007240 0.008666 0.010494 0.012792 0.015609 0.019362
2025-05-25 0.005285 0.006632 0.008317 0.010605 0.013668 0.017685 0.023445
2025-06-01 0.004680 0.006084 0.007916 0.010519 0.014189 0.019275 0.027034
2025-06-08 0.004119 0.005509 0.007385 0.010153 0.014225 0.020138 0.029652
2025-06-15 0.003790 0.005202 0.007170 0.010179 0.014785 0.021781 0.033634
2025-06-22 0.003617 0.005090 0.007207 0.010557 0.015893 0.024368 0.039500
2025-06-29 0.003313 0.004757 0.006883 0.010343 0.016037 0.025418 0.042925
2025-07-06 0.003048 0.004456 0.006576 0.010116 0.016117 0.026352 0.046261
2025-07-13 0.002865 0.004264 0.006416 0.010102 0.016541 0.027912 0.050994
2025-07-20 0.002762 0.004186 0.006428 0.010368 0.017470 0.030483 0.058125
2025-07-27 0.002601 0.004002 0.006249 0.010289 0.017766 0.031906 0.063152
2025-08-03 0.002469 0.003862 0.006144 0.010348 0.018364 0.034073 0.070386
2025-08-10 0.002317 0.003679 0.005954 0.010238 0.018636 0.035645 0.076676
2025-08-17 0.002216 0.003575 0.005887 0.010346 0.019341 0.038213 0.085864
2025-08-24 0.002095 0.003425 0.005729 0.010263 0.019646 0.039960 0.093419
2025-08-31 0.001945 0.003215 0.005444 0.009907 0.019339 0.040297 0.097389
2025-09-07 0.001861 0.003117 0.005357 0.009932 0.019846 0.042575 0.107160
2025-09-14 0.001830 0.003109 0.005436 0.010299 0.021150 0.046960 0.124080
2025-09-21 0.001727 0.002965 0.005247 0.010092 0.021126 0.048068 0.131527
2025-09-28 0.001631 0.002828 0.005059 0.009871 0.021045 0.049020 0.138751
2025-10-05 0.001566 0.002744 0.004972 0.009857 0.021455 0.051327 0.151054
2025-10-12 0.001536 0.002724 0.005007 0.010115 0.022559 0.055705 0.171801